Now that the concern over the impact of Hurricane Gustav has largely waned, folks in Western North Carolina can focus on the next storm — Hanna. I’m expecting to see conjecture about the possible impacts of Hannah: where is it going? will it bring more heavy rain and flooding to the area? etc.
Ray’s Weather, the best local weather forecasting for Western North Carolina, has this to say:
The tropics continue to be exceedingly busy. With Gustav now inland and producing torrential rainfall through the Arklatex region, attention now turns to Hurricane Hanna located in the southeastern Bahamas. We expect Hanna to track to the northwest over the next couple of days, with a landfall between Savannah and Charleston sometime on Friday as a category two or three hurricane. A track northward through central SC and then the North Carolina Piedmont is favored at this time.
On this course, rain (with the heaviest rain east of the mountains) would overspread the area on Friday before lifting north of the state on Saturday. Unlike Fay, Hanna would likely retain sufficient strength to produce strong winds around our local area. This could be a high-impact event, so we’re going to be following this extremely carefully.
4 Comments
Wind Shear has seriously impacted Hanna, and it is doubtful that Hanna will be anything greater than a Category One storm, if that. Every successive track models released is trending farther and farther east.
I don’t think that Hanna will be in the Carolinas long enough to dump much rain in this part of the state.
Maybe we will have better luck with Ike or Josephine.
Blub, got it. Thanks.
Ash, it’s Hanna
Hanna seems to be trending on a track back toward WNC. If this holds, Friday into Saturday is the time when we’ll feel the greatest impact. Watch for some serious flooding problems. Back to back tropical systems within two weeks of each other tend to give NC it’s greatest flood potential. Remember the two tropical storms a few years ago? Much of WNC flooding back then. It the path moves farther east, less of a problem, of course.
Check out Weather Underground’s Tropical section. Lots of info on all of the storms including all forecast tracks from all computer modeling!